Effects of Distance

0.1 At least One Campus in Proximity

Unconditioned

	log odds	se	(lower	upper)	missInfo
(Intercept)	-0.311	0.088	-0.483	-0.139	0 %
At least one campus	0.253	0.109	0.040	0.466	0 %

No Interaction

	log odds	se	(lower	upper)	missInfo
(Intercept)	-3.525	0.302	-4.118	-2.933	7 %
At least one campus	0.088	0.123	-0.154	0.330	1 %
Math Achievement	0.001	0.001	-0.001	0.003	19 %
Reading Achievement	0.002	0.001	0.000	0.005	55 %
Science Achievement	0.002	0.001	-0.001	0.004	65 %
Index of Educational and Occupational Level	0.066	0.057	-0.047	0.178	1 %
Economic Social Cultural Scale	0.137	0.034	0.071	0.203	1 %
Indigenous	-0.111	0.190	-0.483	0.261	1 %
gender	-0.225	0.091	-0.404	-0.046	10 %
State:NSW	0.374	0.138	0.104	0.645	0 %
State:VIC	0.756	0.138	0.486	1.027	0 %
State:QLD	1.084	0.145	0.800	1.367	0 %
State:SA	0.694	0.153	0.394	0.993	0 %
State:WA	0.966	0.155	0.663	1.269	0 %
State:NT	0.562	0.192	0.186	0.939	0 %

Interaction

	log odds	se	(lower	upper)	missInfo
(Intercept)	-3.495	0.303	-4.090	-2.900	7 %
At least one campus	0.040	0.128	-0.211	0.291	1 %
Math Achievement	0.001	0.001	-0.001	0.003	18 %
Reading Achievement	0.002	0.001	0.000	0.005	56 %
Science Achievement	0.002	0.001	-0.001	0.004	65 %
Index of Educational and Occupational Level	0.076	0.057	-0.036	0.188	1 %
Economic Social Cultural Scale	0.236	0.061	0.116	0.356	0 %
Indigenous	-0.096	0.347	-0.775	0.584	2 %
gender	-0.220	0.091	-0.399	-0.041	11 %
State:NSW	0.367	0.138	0.096	0.638	0 %
State:VIC	0.751	0.138	0.481	1.021	0 %
State:QLD	1.085	0.144	0.803	1.367	0 %
State:SA	0.697	0.152	0.399	0.996	0 %
State:WA	0.964	0.154	0.662	1.265	0 %
State:NT	0.549	0.192	0.173	0.926	0 %
At least one campus:Economic Social Cultural Scale	-0.136	0.076	-0.286	0.013	1 %
At least one campus:Indigenous	0.013	0.437	-0.843	0.870	2 %

0.2 At Least One Elite Campus in Proximity

Unconditioned

	log odds	se	(lower	upper)	missInfo
(Intercept)	-0.214	0.052	-0.316	-0.112	0 %
At least one elite campus	0.205	0.081	0.046	0.365	0 %

No Interaction

	log odds	se	(lower	upper)	missInfo
(Intercept)	-3.485	0.291	-4.057	-2.914	9 %
At least one elite campus	0.049	0.110	-0.167	0.266	1 %
Math Achievement	0.001	0.001	-0.001	0.003	18 %
Reading Achievement	0.002	0.001	0.000	0.005	55 %
Science Achievement	0.002	0.001	-0.001	0.004	65 %
Index of Educational and Occupational Level	0.068	0.064	-0.058	0.193	1 %
Economic Social Cultural Scale	0.138	0.034	0.072	0.204	1 %
Indigenous	-0.123	0.194	-0.503	0.257	1 %
gender	-0.223	0.092	-0.403	-0.042	10 %
State:NSW	0.376	0.139	0.104	0.647	0 %
State:VIC	0.757	0.139	0.484	1.029	0 %
State:QLD	1.088	0.144	0.806	1.370	0 %
State:SA	0.690	0.156	0.383	0.996	0 %
State:WA	0.976	0.157	0.669	1.284	0 %
State:NT	0.586	0.194	0.205	0.967	0 %

Interaction

	log odds	se	(lower	upper)	missInfo
(Intercept)	-3.467	0.289	-4.034	-2.900	9 %
At least one elite campus	0.032	0.111	-0.186	0.250	1 %
Math Achievement	0.001	0.001	-0.001	0.003	18 %
Reading Achievement	0.002	0.001	0.000	0.005	55 %
Science Achievement	0.002	0.001	-0.001	0.004	65 %
Index of Educational and Occupational Level	0.075	0.064	-0.050	0.199	1 %
Economic Social Cultural Scale	0.166	0.041	0.085	0.247	1 %
Indigenous	-0.153	0.230	-0.604	0.298	1 %
gender	-0.220	0.092	-0.401	-0.040	10 %
State:NSW	0.374	0.138	0.103	0.644	0 %
State:VIC	0.752	0.138	0.482	1.022	0 %
State:QLD	1.086	0.143	0.805	1.367	0 %
State:SA	0.691	0.156	0.385	0.996	0 %
State:WA	0.971	0.156	0.666	1.277	0 %
State:NT	0.578	0.195	0.196	0.960	0 %
At least one elite campus:Economic Social Cultural Scale	-0.065	0.069	-0.201	0.071	1 %
At least one elite campus:Indigenous	0.218	0.329	-0.427	0.863	3 %

0.3 Number of Universities in Proximity

Unconditioned

	log odds	se	(lower	upper)	missInfo
(Intercept)	-0.192	0.048	-0.286	-0.098	0 %
Number of Campuses	0.009	0.004	0.001	0.017	0 %

No Interaction

	log odds	se	(lower	upper)	missInfo
(Intercept)	-3.420	0.275	-3.960	-2.880	11 %
Number of Campuses	0.007	0.006	-0.004	0.019	0 %
Math Achievement	0.001	0.001	-0.001	0.003	18 %
Reading Achievement	0.002	0.001	0.000	0.005	54 %
Science Achievement	0.002	0.001	-0.001	0.004	64 %
Index of Educational and Occupational Level	0.022	0.070	-0.114	0.159	1 %
Economic Social Cultural Scale	0.141	0.033	0.076	0.206	1 %
Indigenous	-0.129	0.194	-0.509	0.252	1 %
gender	-0.226	0.092	-0.406	-0.046	10 %
State:NSW	0.247	0.164	-0.074	0.568	1 %
State:VIC	0.643	0.171	0.309	0.978	0 %
State:QLD	0.994	0.163	0.675	1.314	0 %
State:SA	0.605	0.171	0.270	0.941	1 %
State:WA	0.909	0.156	0.604	1.214	0 %
State:NT	0.511	0.194	0.131	0.892	0 %

Interaction

	log odds	se	(lower	upper)	missInfo
(Intercept)	-3.412	0.277	-3.957	-2.867	11 %
Number of Campuses	0.007	0.006	-0.005	0.019	0 %
Math Achievement	0.001	0.001	-0.001	0.003	19 %
Reading Achievement	0.002	0.001	0.000	0.005	54 %
Science Achievement	0.002	0.001	-0.001	0.004	64 %
Index of Educational and Occupational Level	0.019	0.069	-0.117	0.155	1 %
Economic Social Cultural Scale	0.130	0.038	0.056	0.205	1 %
Indigenous	-0.207	0.219	-0.637	0.222	1 %
gender	-0.229	0.092	-0.409	-0.049	10 %
State:NSW	0.237	0.161	-0.079	0.553	1 %
State:VIC	0.637	0.170	0.304	0.970	0 %
State:QLD	0.985	0.162	0.667	1.304	0 %
State:SA	0.596	0.170	0.263	0.929	1 %
State:WA	0.903	0.154	0.601	1.206	0 %
State:NT	0.506	0.194	0.127	0.886	0 %
Number of Campuses:Economic Social Cultural Scale	0.001	0.003	-0.005	0.008	0 %
Number of Campuses:Indigenous	0.025	0.022	-0.019	0.068	0 %

Polynomial: Unconditioned

	log odds	se	(lower	upper)	missInfo
(Intercept)	-0.262	0.062	-0.383	-0.141	0 %
Number of Campuses	0.042	0.016	0.010	0.074	1 %
Number of Campuses^2	-0.001	0.000	-0.002	0.000	1 %

Polynomial: No Interaction

	log odds	se	(lower	upper)	missInfo
(Intercept)	-3.428	0.290	-3.999	-2.858	10 %
Number of Campuses	0.011	0.021	-0.031	0.053	0 %
Number of Campuses^2	0.000	0.001	-0.001	0.001	0 %
Math Achievement	0.001	0.001	-0.001	0.003	19 %
Reading Achievement	0.002	0.001	0.000	0.005	54 %
Science Achievement	0.002	0.001	-0.001	0.004	65 %
Index of Educational and Occupational Level	0.018	0.078	-0.136	0.171	1 %
Economic Social Cultural Scale	0.141	0.034	0.075	0.207	1 %
Indigenous	-0.126	0.195	-0.508	0.256	1 %
gender	-0.225	0.092	-0.406	-0.044	10 %
State:NSW	0.248	0.162	-0.070	0.566	1 %
State:VIC	0.639	0.174	0.297	0.981	0 %
State:QLD	0.990	0.167	0.662	1.318	0 %
State:SA	0.598	0.182	0.241	0.954	0 %
State:WA	0.910	0.154	0.608	1.212	0 %
State:NT	0.511	0.194	0.131	0.892	0 %

Polynomial: Interaction

	log odds	se	(lower	upper)	missInfo
(Intercept)	-3.417	0.289	-3.986	-2.848	11 %
Number of Campuses	0.012	0.021	-0.030	0.054	0 %
Number of Campuses^2	0.000	0.001	-0.001	0.001	0 %
Math Achievement	0.001	0.001	-0.001	0.003	19 %
Reading Achievement	0.002	0.001	0.000	0.005	54 %
Science Achievement	0.002	0.001	-0.001	0.004	66 %
Index of Educational and Occupational Level	0.019	0.077	-0.132	0.170	1 %
Economic Social Cultural Scale	0.158	0.045	0.069	0.247	0 %
Indigenous	-0.185	0.257	-0.688	0.318	1 %
gender	-0.227	0.092	-0.408	-0.047	10 %
State:NSW	0.244	0.158	-0.066	0.554	1 %
State:VIC	0.637	0.173	0.297	0.976	0 %
State:QLD	0.984	0.166	0.659	1.308	0 %
State:SA	0.592	0.181	0.238	0.947	0 %
State:WA	0.906	0.151	0.610	1.203	0 %
State:NT	0.506	0.194	0.127	0.886	0 %
Number of Campuses:Economic Social Cultural Scale	-0.013	0.014	-0.040	0.015	1 %
Number of Campuses:Indigenous	0.019	0.082	-0.142	0.180	2 %
Number of Campuses^2:Economic Social Cultural Scale	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.001	2 %
Number of Campuses^2:Indigenous	0.000	0.002	-0.004	0.004	2 %

0.4 Number of Elite Universities in Proximity

Unconditioned

	log odds	se	(lower	upper)	missInfo
(Intercept)	-0.151	0.044	-0.237	-0.064	0 %
Number of Elite Campuses	0.019	0.018	-0.015	0.054	0 %

No Interaction

	log odds	se	(lower	upper)	missInfo
(Intercept)	-3.445	0.278	-3.992	-2.897	11 %
Number of Elite Campuses	0.013	0.023	-0.032	0.058	2 %
Math Achievement	0.001	0.001	-0.001	0.003	18 %
Reading Achievement	0.002	0.001	0.000	0.005	54 %
Science Achievement	0.002	0.001	-0.001	0.004	64 %
Index of Educational and Occupational Level	0.060	0.059	-0.055	0.176	1 %
Economic Social Cultural Scale	0.139	0.033	0.074	0.204	1 %
Indigenous	-0.128	0.193	-0.507	0.250	1 %
gender	-0.227	0.092	-0.407	-0.046	10 %
State:NSW	0.324	0.159	0.011	0.636	1 %
State:VIC	0.727	0.147	0.438	1.015	0 %
State:QLD	1.056	0.152	0.758	1.355	0 %
State:SA	0.670	0.159	0.359	0.981	1 %
State:WA	0.948	0.153	0.648	1.248	0 %
State:NT	0.550	0.190	0.178	0.922	0 %

Interaction

	log odds	se	(lower	upper)	missInfo
(Intercept)	-3.438	0.279	-3.987	-2.889	11 %
Number of Elite Campuses	0.011	0.023	-0.034	0.056	1 %
Math Achievement	0.001	0.001	-0.001	0.003	18 %
Reading Achievement	0.002	0.001	0.000	0.005	54 %
Science Achievement	0.002	0.001	-0.001	0.004	64 %
Index of Educational and Occupational Level	0.059	0.059	-0.056	0.175	1 %
Economic Social Cultural Scale	0.131	0.036	0.060	0.202	1 %
Indigenous	-0.187	0.209	-0.596	0.223	1 %
gender	-0.229	0.092	-0.409	-0.049	10 %
State:NSW	0.319	0.159	0.008	0.630	1 %
State:VIC	0.723	0.147	0.435	1.011	0 %
State:QLD	1.052	0.153	0.753	1.351	0 %
State:SA	0.665	0.158	0.355	0.975	1 %
State:WA	0.945	0.153	0.646	1.244	0 %
State:NT	0.548	0.190	0.175	0.920	0 %
Number of Elite Campuses:Economic Social Cultural Scale	0.006	0.014	-0.021	0.032	1 %
Number of Elite Campuses:Indigenous	0.086	0.075	-0.060	0.233	1 %

Polynomial: Unconditioned

	log odds	se	(lower	upper)	missInfo
(Intercept)	-0.203	0.048	-0.297	-0.109	0 %
Number of Elite Campuses	0.135	0.054	0.029	0.242	0 %
Number of Elite Campuses^2	-0.013	0.006	-0.025	-0.001	1 %

Polynomial: No Interaction

	log odds	se	(lower	upper)	missInfo
(Intercept)	-3.441	0.283	-3.999	-2.884	11 %
Number of Elite Campuses	0.005	0.069	-0.131	0.141	0 %
Number of Elite Campuses^2	0.001	0.007	-0.013	0.014	0 %
Math Achievement	0.001	0.001	-0.001	0.003	18 %
Reading Achievement	0.002	0.001	0.000	0.005	54 %
Science Achievement	0.002	0.001	-0.001	0.004	64 %
Index of Educational and Occupational Level	0.063	0.069	-0.073	0.199	1 %
Economic Social Cultural Scale	0.139	0.033	0.074	0.205	1 %
Indigenous	-0.129	0.194	-0.510	0.252	1 %
gender	-0.227	0.092	-0.409	-0.046	10 %
State:NSW	0.324	0.159	0.013	0.636	1 %
State:VIC	0.731	0.159	0.419	1.043	0 %
State:QLD	1.059	0.159	0.748	1.371	0 %
State:SA	0.673	0.165	0.350	0.995	1 %
State:WA	0.948	0.151	0.652	1.244	0 %
State:NT	0.549	0.189	0.179	0.918	0 %

Polynomial: Interaction

	log odds	se	(lower	upper)	missInfo
(Intercept)	-3.435	0.282	-3.989	-2.881	11 %
Number of Elite Campuses	0.005	0.071	-0.134	0.145	0 %
Number of Elite Campuses^2	0.001	0.007	-0.014	0.015	0 %
Math Achievement	0.001	0.001	-0.001	0.003	18 %
Reading Achievement	0.002	0.001	0.000	0.005	54 %
Science Achievement	0.002	0.001	-0.001	0.004	64 %
Index of Educational and Occupational Level	0.062	0.069	-0.074	0.197	1 %
Economic Social Cultural Scale	0.134	0.041	0.054	0.214	1 %
Indigenous	-0.192	0.226	-0.636	0.251	1 %
gender	-0.229	0.092	-0.410	-0.048	10 %
State:NSW	0.321	0.158	0.012	0.630	1 %
State:VIC	0.727	0.160	0.414	1.039	0 %
State:QLD	1.054	0.159	0.743	1.366	0 %
State:SA	0.668	0.164	0.346	0.990	1 %
State:WA	0.945	0.150	0.652	1.239	0 %
State:NT	0.547	0.189	0.177	0.918	0 %
Number of Elite Campuses:Economic Social Cultural Scale	-0.001	0.051	-0.100	0.099	1 %
Number of Elite Campuses:Indigenous	0.134	0.302	-0.458	0.726	8 %
Number of Elite Campuses^2:Economic Social Cultural Scale	0.001	0.006	-0.010	0.011	1 %
Number of Elite Campuses^2:Indigenous	-0.005	0.030	-0.063	0.053	8 %

0.5 Log Distance to Nearest University Campus

Unconditioned

	log odds	se	(lower	upper)	missInfo
(Intercept)	0.933	0.306	0.334	1.532	0 %
log distance to campus	-0.115	0.033	-0.180	-0.051	0 %

No Interaction

	log odds	se	(lower	upper)	missInfo
(Intercept)	-2.750	0.447	-3.628	-1.873	5 %
log distance to campus	-0.076	0.039	-0.152	0.000	0 %
Math Achievement	0.001	0.001	-0.001	0.003	19 %
Reading Achievement	0.002	0.001	0.000	0.005	56 %
Science Achievement	0.002	0.001	-0.001	0.005	63 %
Index of Educational and Occupational Level	0.035	0.058	-0.078	0.149	2 %
Economic Social Cultural Scale	0.135	0.034	0.068	0.202	1 %
Indigenous	-0.046	0.184	-0.405	0.314	1 %
gender	-0.232	0.092	-0.414	-0.050	11 %
State:NSW	0.352	0.141	0.075	0.629	0 %
State:VIC	0.727	0.138	0.456	0.997	0 %
State:QLD	1.066	0.145	0.781	1.351	0 %
State:SA	0.661	0.157	0.353	0.969	1 %
State:WA	0.956	0.157	0.649	1.263	0 %
State:NT	0.450	0.207	0.044	0.856	0 %

Interaction

	log odds	se	(lower	upper)	missInfo
(Intercept)	-2.836	0.472	-3.761	-1.911	6 %
log distance to campus	-0.067	0.042	-0.149	0.015	1 %
Math Achievement	0.001	0.001	-0.001	0.003	19 %
Reading Achievement	0.002	0.001	0.000	0.005	56 %
Science Achievement	0.002	0.001	-0.001	0.004	63 %
Index of Educational and Occupational Level	0.041	0.059	-0.075	0.156	1 %
Economic Social Cultural Scale	0.000	0.264	-0.517	0.517	1 %
Indigenous	0.517	0.885	-1.217	2.251	2 %
gender	-0.226	0.093	-0.409	-0.043	11 %
State:NSW	0.353	0.141	0.078	0.629	0 %
State:VIC	0.727	0.137	0.458	0.996	0 %
State:QLD	1.072	0.145	0.789	1.356	0 %
State:SA	0.665	0.157	0.357	0.974	1 %
State:WA	0.964	0.156	0.658	1.270	0 %
State:NT	0.443	0.206	0.039	0.848	0 %
log distance to campus:Economic Social Cultural Scale	0.015	0.028	-0.040	0.069	1 %
log distance to campus:Indigenous	-0.053	0.090	-0.229	0.123	2 %

0.6 Log Distance to an Elite University

Unconditioned

	log odds	se	(lower	upper)	missInfo
(Intercept)	0.726	0.253	0.230	1.223	0 %
log distance to elite campus	-0.081	0.024	-0.128	-0.034	0 %

No Interaction

	log odds	se	(lower	upper)	missInfo
(Intercept)	-2.990	0.453	-3.880	-2.101	7 %
log distance to elite campus	-0.047	0.035	-0.115	0.022	2 %
Math Achievement	0.001	0.001	-0.001	0.003	17 %
Reading Achievement	0.002	0.001	0.000	0.005	57 %
Science Achievement	0.002	0.001	-0.001	0.005	65 %
Index of Educational and Occupational Level	0.039	0.063	-0.086	0.163	1 %
Economic Social Cultural Scale	0.140	0.034	0.074	0.206	1 %
Indigenous	-0.073	0.188	-0.442	0.295	2 %
gender	-0.225	0.092	-0.406	-0.045	10 %
State:NSW	0.387	0.141	0.111	0.663	0 %
State:VIC	0.751	0.138	0.481	1.020	0 %
State:QLD	1.104	0.144	0.822	1.386	0 %
State:SA	0.670	0.159	0.358	0.982	1 %
State:WA	0.969	0.152	0.672	1.266	0 %
State:NT	0.775	0.238	0.308	1.243	1 %

Interaction

	log odds	se	(lower	upper)	missInfo
(Intercept)	-3.029	0.460	-3.932	-2.126	8 %
log distance to elite campus	-0.042	0.036	-0.113	0.028	3 %
Math Achievement	0.001	0.001	-0.001	0.003	17 %
Reading Achievement	0.002	0.001	0.000	0.005	58 %
Science Achievement	0.002	0.001	-0.001	0.005	65 %
Index of Educational and Occupational Level	0.044	0.064	-0.081	0.168	1 %
Economic Social Cultural Scale	0.027	0.241	-0.446	0.500	1 %
Indigenous	0.261	0.818	-1.342	1.865	2 %
gender	-0.223	0.092	-0.404	-0.041	10 %
State:NSW	0.384	0.141	0.107	0.661	0 %
State:VIC	0.748	0.137	0.480	1.017	0 %
State:QLD	1.103	0.144	0.821	1.386	0 %
State:SA	0.669	0.159	0.357	0.981	1 %
State:WA	0.968	0.151	0.671	1.264	0 %
State:NT	0.765	0.241	0.292	1.238	1 %
log distance to elite campus:Economic Social Cultural Scale	0.011	0.022	-0.033	0.054	1 %
log distance to elite campus:Indigenous	-0.027	0.073	-0.170	0.117	2 %

Main Analaysis:

Supplementary: Parent Job Prestige

Supplementary: Postcode age 16

Home

Attendance at University Information Session: Sensitivity Analaysis Using Using Postcodes at Age 16

Blinded For Review

28 July 2015

0.1 At least One Campus in Proximity

Unconditioned

No Interaction

Interaction

0.2 At Least One Elite Campus in Proximity

Unconditioned

No Interaction

Interaction

0.3 Number of Universities in Proximity

Unconditioned

No Interaction

Interaction

Polynomial: Unconditioned

Polynomial: No Interaction

Polynomial: Interaction

0.4 Number of Elite Universities in Proximity

Unconditioned

No Interaction

Interaction

Polynomial: Unconditioned

Polynomial: No Interaction

Polynomial: Interaction

0.5 Log Distance to Nearest University Campus

Unconditioned

No Interaction

Interaction

0.6 Log Distance to an Elite University

Unconditioned

No Interaction

Interaction